Summary

The document notes the continued relative resilience of global growth. According to the International Monetary Fund, global GDP is projected to grow by 3.3% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027, supported by investment in technologies, including artificial intelligence, and by firms’ ability to operate amid trade uncertainty and tighter financial conditions. Global inflation is expected to ease to 3.8% in 2026 and 3.4% in 2027. At the same time, the IMF highlights persistent risks related to rising protectionism, geopolitical tensions, and high public debt, underscoring the need for fiscal discipline and structural reforms.